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April 2007 - The federal government
flood and crop insurance programs have failed to address the
increased risks likely to result from global warming, finds a
new report prepared by the investigative branch of Congress,
the Government Accountability Office, GAO.
The report,"Climate Change: Financial Risks to Federal and
Private Insurers in Coming Decades are Potentially
Significant," was commissioned by the chairs of the Senate
Committee for Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs,
Senators Joe Lieberman, a Connecticut Independent, and
Republican Susan Collins of Maine, and released at a committee
hearing Thursday.
"The rapidly mounting evidence of climate change depicts a
threat that extends even beyond vital environmental and social
concerns," said Senator Collins, the committee's Ranking
Member. "Global warming also Threatens to burden consumers and
taxpayers with billions of dollars in added costs as insured
losses from floods and storms cause increases in federal
spending and insurance premiums." Senator Susan Collins of
Maine listenvironment news to the evidence at the
Committee for Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
hearing Thursday.
"Weather-related events have cost the nation billions of
dollars in damages over the past decade," the report states.
These losses are borne by private insurers and by two federal
insurance programs - the National Flood Insurance Program,
which insures properties against flooding, and the Federal
Crop Insurance Corporation, which insures crops against
drought or other weather disasters.
Since 1980, National Flood Insurance Program's exposure
quadrupled, nearing $1 trillion in 2005, and program expansion
increased Federal Crop Insurance Corporation's exposure
26-fold to $44 billion.
Major private and federal insurers are both exposed to the
effects of climate change over coming decades, but are
responding differently, writes the report's lead author John
Stephenvironment newson, director of the GAO's Natural Resources and
Environment division.
Many large private insurers are incorporating climate change
into their annual risk management practices, and some are
addressing it strategically by assessing its potential
long-term industry-wide impacts. "The two major federal
insurance programs, however, have done little to develop
comparable information," the report states.
"The private insurance industry, driven by the discipline of
the marketplace, has been paying serious attention to
increased risks presented by climate changes," said Collins.
"But federal insurance programs, on the other hand, have done
little to develop the kind of information needed to understand
programs' long-term exposure to climate change."
In arriving at these conclusions, GAO investigators reviewed
key scientific assessments, analyzed insured loss data, and
contacted private insurers, the National Flood Insurance
Program, and the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation.
The key assessments the GAO reviewed generally found that
rising temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and
severity of damaging weather-related events, such as flooding
or drought, although the timing and magnitude are as yet
undetermined.
The global average surface temperature has increased by 0.74
degrees Celsius over the past 100 years and climate models
predict additional, perhaps accelerating, increases in
temperature, the report states, citing the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change among other scientific reports.
The GAO cites the conclusions of major scientific bodies that
"human activities, including the combustion of fossil fuels,
industrial and agriculture processes, landfills, and some land
use changes, are significantly increasing the concentrations
of greenhouse gases and, in turn, global temperatures."
Determining the precise nature and extent of the relationship
between average global temperatures and weather-related events
is an exceedingly challenging task, the GAO acknowledges in
the report.
"Nonetheless, a key assessment of climate model projections
indicates that an increase is likely in the frequency or
severity of damaging extreme weather-related events."
"Two major federal programs which, as a consequence of both
future climate change and substantial growth in exposure, may
see their losses grow by many billions of dollars in the
coming decades," according to the report.
Floodwaters flow through the historic Black Rock Mill along
Seneca Creek in Germantown, Maryland due to record rains
across the Mid-Atlantic region. June 27, 2006.
At the hearing Thursday, Senator Collins stressed the need to
take "senvironment newsible steps in many areas to lead us to a more stable
climate future." Since she was elected to the Senate in 1996,
Collins has met with numerous climate researchers, and says
she has seen the effects of climate change on snowfall, ice
caps, and glaciers. She is a cosponsor of the Climate
Stewardship and Innovation Act and will soon introduce
legislation designed to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions
and slow climate change.
Conservationists agree with the report's conclusions and urge
the government to address the issue immediately.
"We commend Senators Lieberman and Collins for exposing the
inadequacies of federal insurance programs to protect
taxpayers from catastrophic losses due to global warming,"
said David Tuft, campaign director of the Natural Resources
Defense Council's Climate Center.
"Not only has our federal government thus far failed to take
action to prevent the worst consequences of unchecked global
warming pollution, but it has failed fundamentally to take
reasonable precautions against global warming-induced storms
and drought, and the high costs that will be borne by
families, businesses and ultimately, taxpayers," Tuft said.
From 1980 to 2005, private and federal insurers paid a total
of more than $320 billion in claims on weather-related losses.
the GAO reports.
Nearly 750,000 turkeys were lost to flooding in Duplin County,
North Carolina as well as 100,000 hogs. This owner, Alan
Reynor, lost at least $85,000 plus cleanup costs. He also lost
2,500 hogs and his corn crop. September 1999.
Claims varied from year to year due to the effects of
catastrophic weather events such as hurricanes and droughts
but have increased over this period of time.
The growth in population in hazard-prone areas and resulting
real estate development have generally increased liabilities
for insurers, and have helped to explain the increase in
losses.
Due to these and other factors, federal insurers' exposure has
grown substantially and is expected to increase as the climate
warms, the GAO finds.
The GAO report acknowledges that the federal insurance
programs are not profit-oriented, like private insurers.
"Nonetheless," it concludes, "a strategic analysis of the
potential implications of climate change for the major federal
insurance programs would help the Congress manage an emerging
high-risk area with significant implications for the nation's
growing fiscal imbalance."
Congress established the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation in
1938 to temper the economic impact of the Great Depression and
the weather effects of the dust bowl. In 1980, the Congress
expanded the program to provide an alternative to disaster
assistance for farmers that suffer financial losses when crops
are damaged by droughts, floods, or other natural disasters.
Farmers' participation is voluntary, but the federal
government encourages it by subsidizing their insurance
premiums.
The GAO is recommending that the secretaries of agriculture
and homeland security analyze the potential long-term fiscal
implications of climate change for the Federal Crop Insurance
Corporation and the National Flood Insurance Program,
respectively, and report their findings to the Congress.
In commenting on a draft of this report, the two agencies
agreed with the recommendation.
This mobile home in the coastal community of Johnson Bayou,
Louisiana was destroyed by the tidal surge from Hurricane
Rita. Someone painted on the siding, "Gone With the Wind."
September 2005.
Commenting for the Department of Commerce, Undersecretary for
Oceans and Atmosphere Conrad Lautenbacher, went a step further
than the report, warning that coastal communities are
especially vulnerable to the risks of climate change related
weather events.
"The report should examine coastal development impacts more
rigorously," Lautenbacher wrote.
He cites research showing that, "coastal development has
increased the vulnerability to winter storm surge, wind damage
and hurricanes. These vulnerabilities, due to high risk
coastal development, will only be amplified by climate change
related increases in the frequency or severity of high impact
extreme weather related events."
"We can no longer afford to let political considerations blind
us to the realities of rising global temperatures," said the
NRDC's Tuft.
"As we saw with the response to Hurricane Katrina, our
government is woefully ill-prepared to protect its citizenvironment news
against catastrophic losses," said Tuft. "Now this report has
blown the whistle on how ill-prepared we are as a nation for
further destruction. The key is that there is still time to
reduce the threat of global warming, and avoid the worst
consequences."
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